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<font dropzone="Dpw3pj"> <address id="paPivh"></address> </font> 2024-12-14 00:07:17

China Merchants Securities: Investment Guidelines of the Central Economic Work Conference for A-shares next year From these four aspects, China Merchants Securities said that the investment guidelines of the Central Economic Work Conference for A-shares next year mainly include the following aspects: 1) From a macro perspective, the support intensity of policies for various economic work is expected to exceed market expectations. Specifically, the fiscal policy orientation is positive, deficit ratio will arrange or keep it above 3%, the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be further expanded, and the scale and investment field of special bonds are expected to be further extended; Monetary policy mentioned "timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates", and the goal of liquidity policy changed from balance to loose tendency, which will bring room for valuation improvement of A shares. 2) From the perspective of expanding domestic demand, consumption will become the main line of investment next year: the meeting will continue the deployment of the Politburo meeting in December, and in the order of writing, consumption will still be placed at the top of next year's key tasks. In terms of specific measures, it is planned to boost consumption mainly through two aspects. First, increase the income of residents; The second is to increase consumption scenarios. 3) Focus on scientific and technological innovation to lead the development of new quality productive forces, and grasp two main lines: this meeting focused on "carrying out' artificial intelligence+'action and cultivating future industries". Artificial intelligence has appeared in the draft of the Central Economic Work Conference for three consecutive years. Future industries have also appeared in the draft of the Central Economic Work Conference for two consecutive years. Therefore, it is recommended to focus on artificial intelligence+and future industries. 4) Focus on "comprehensive improvement of' involution' competition": In terms of "involution" competition, photovoltaic industry is the representative in emerging industries. Recently, in addition to self-regulatory measures such as industry association initiatives, the photovoltaic export tax rebate rate has been lowered and industry norms have been updated to further control new production capacity. The policy is further introduced to curb the "involution" competition of photovoltaics. It is recommended to pay attention to photovoltaic, lithium battery and other industries.The Shanghai 50 index fell more than 2%, and the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index fell 1.8%.The Emergency Management Department made unannounced visits to inspect enterprises involved in dust explosion. Recently, the Emergency Management Department sent a working group to carry out unannounced visits to enterprises in key industries of industry and trade in Henan and Guangxi without greeting, accompanying reception and preparing materials, so as to promote the key areas of industry and trade to do a good job in the investigation and rectification of potential safety hazards in industry and trade this winter and next spring. It was found that some enterprises involved in dust explosion did not take explosion prevention and control measures, did not set up gas lock and ash unloading devices, did not set up spark detection and elimination devices, and did not implement dust cleaning system.


Ministry of Finance of Thailand: It is estimated that the global minimum corporate tax of 15% will be implemented from January 2025.Centeno, Governing Committee of the European Central Bank: Fortunately, yesterday's decision of the European Central Bank was unanimously adopted.The USD/JPY just broke through the 153.00 mark, and the latest price was 153.01, up 0.25% in the day.


On the 13th, glass fell by 2.14%, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the exchange data, as of December 13th, the main contract glass closed at 2505, up or down by -2.14%, with a turnover of 671,300 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were clear, and the difference position was 46,081 lots. The total turnover of glass futures contracts was 999,900 lots, an increase of 189,100 lots over the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 565,600 lots, a decrease of 12,000 lots from the previous day. The short positions in the top 20 seats of the contract were 661,500 lots, a decrease of 13,600 lots from the previous day. (Sina Futures)The organization looks forward to the semiconductor industry in 2025: the AI ​ ​ replacement tide leads the growth, and the semiconductor ETF(512480) may usher in new development opportunities. On December 13, the semiconductor ETF(512480) closed down by 1.38%, with a turnover of 1.671 billion yuan. The constituent stocks are mixed, and Zhaoyi Innovation leads the rise. In terms of decline, SMIC led the decline. CICC said that after the boom in 2024, it is expected that the inventory of the semiconductor industry will stabilize and the relationship between supply and demand will be more balanced in 2025. With the gradual landing of AI cloud and end demand, domestic semiconductor elements will usher in new development opportunities. In addition, the AI-changing tide has a pulling effect on the downstream demand of the semiconductor design sector, which is expected to accelerate the growth of the semiconductor design sector in 2025 and inject new vitality into the industry.The head of the region said that the Russian attack on the key infrastructure in the Ivano-Frankov region was the biggest attack on the region so far.

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